Teams proceeded by their conference names are the current MRI leaders in those conferences projected to get one bid.

East Region

Washington, DC

#1. Duke #16 play-in game: Big South: Winthrop vs. Southern: Davidson

#8. Miami #9 Creighton

Washington, DC

#5 Mississippi State #12 Wyoming

#4 Texas Tech #13 Arizona

Pittsburgh, PA

#3 Kent State #14 MEAC: Hampton

#6 USC #11 Michigan State

Albuquerque, NM

#7 Southern Illinois #10 UNC-Charlotte

#2 Gonzaga #15 America East: Vermont

West Region

Saint Louis, MO

#1 Kansas #16 Atlantic Sun: Florida Atlantic

#8 Mississippi #9 Cal

Sacramento, CA

#5 Memphis #12 Virginia

#4 Western Kentucky #13 Northeast: Central Connecticut State

Pittsburgh, PA

#3 Pittsburgh #14 Colonial: UNC-Wilmington

#6 Ohio State #11 Hawaii

Greenville, SC

#7 North Carolina State #10 Utah State

#2 Florida #15 Patriot: Holy Cross

Midwest Region

Chicago, IL

#1 Cincinnati #16 SWAC: Alabama A&M

#8. Notre Dame #9 Georgia

Albuquerque, NM

#5 Butler #12 South Carolina

#4 Oklahoma State #13 Iowa

Dallas, TX

#3 Alabama #14 MAAC: Manhattan

#6 Dayton #11 Missouri

Sacramento, CA

#7 Indiana #10 Connecticut

#2 Oregon #15 Southland: McNeese State

South Region

Greenville, SC

#1 Maryland #16 Big Sky: Weber State

#8 Tulsa #9 Texas

Saint Louis, MO

#5 Kentucky #12 Syracuse

#4 Marquette #13 MCC: Valparaiso

Chicago, IL

#3 Illinois #14 Ivy: Pennsylvania

#6 Stanford #11 Wake Forest

Dallas, TX

#7 Xavier #10 Georgetown

#2 Oklahoma #15 OVC: Murray State

Notes:

• Duquesne is the host in Pittsburgh and not Pittsburgh itself, so they can play at home without breaking any rules.
• Since the Ivy league does not have a conference tournament, they send the regular season conference winner. While Penn leads the Ivy league in the MRI, they would need to win against Princeton to win the title. They may end in a 3-way tie with Princeton and Yale which would be resolved this week.
• UCLA is conspicuously absent from the projected tournament teams. It is nowhere near making it in the MRI terms. They have just not been among the “best” teams this year. This includes winning the games that you are supposed to win. UCLA has not been able to consistently beat the teams in conference and out that they were supposed to beat. This may change in the next few weeks, especially with the conference tournament in the PAC-10 for the first time in a long while though they are falling further
• Small conferences getting top seeds: MAC (Kent State), Horizon (Butler), WCC (Gonzaga), Sunbelt (Western Kentucky), MVC (Southern Illinois). While unlikely that these teams will be rewarded this much for their good seasons, it will be done here. The only one of these teams likely to get a high seed is Gonzaga with a smaller possibility of Kent State and Western Kentucky getting maybe an 8 seed.
• I disregarded anything that happened in tournaments that were not done by Monday night. It was just too difficult, so say what you want about me slacking. Teams like Manhattan and Vermont were already eliminated by the start of Monday. Conferences like the Horizon conference will probably end with two bids because of heavily favored Butler losing in the conference tournament.

Conferences with multiple bids: SEC (7), Big East (6), Big 12 (6), ACC (5), Big 10 (5), Pac-10 (5), C-USA (4), Atlantic 10 (2), WAC (2), MVC (2)

Moved down for placement requirements: Texas 8 to 9

Moved up for placement requirements: Miami 9 to 8

Last 4 at large teams in: Virginia, Syracuse, Arizona, Iowa

Last 4 at large teams out: Bowling Green, South Florida, Utah, New Mexico

Toughest Region: South

Easiest Region: East